2020 S1 Finals Predictions + Over/Under Ticket

Before we get to today's predictions, what do you think will happen tonight? Take a minute to fill out this over/under ticket with your predictions for the final and you might just win a prize. Good luck! https://forms.gle/CBw8sis8nZtmD6VH6

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Week 9: Prequarterfinals (January 13) ✅✅❌✅✅

Week 10: Quarterfinals (January 20) ✅✅✅

Week 11: Semifinals (January 27)

  • [SF] Caughtfish Defence (Gela) vs. For the Injustices of Fat Hadrians everywhere (Kate)
    Prediction: 21-22 *universe* | Result: 15-30 ✅
  • [SF] Kelseys Grammer: A Sub Par(ity) Performance (Kelsey) vs. ... - --- .--. - .... . - .-. .- .. -. (Mikey)
    Prediction: 20-21 *universe* | Result: 26-11 ❌
  • [5th SF] Toasted Defender Karbon Tax (Mehmet) vs. Trout on toast (Morgan)
    Prediction: 21-22 *universe* | Result: 18-21 ✅
  • [5th SF] Laura S’cored (Laura) vs. Mussel aTrophy (Sully)
    Prediction: 21-19 | Result: 25-20 ✅
  • [7th play-in] UnFourTwoNat (Nat) vs. Burnt Toast (John)
    Prediction: 22-20 | Result: 19-24 ❌

The predictions were technically better than a coin flip this week, but look at those point spreads! So much for precision. And so long to Marie-Ange's perfect record *crying emoji*

The overall predictions record now stands at 11-4 with 5 games left to play. Let's see what we have in store for the finals!

Week 12: Finals (February 3)

  • [1st] For the Injustices of Fat Hadrians everywhere (Kate) vs. Kelseys Grammer: A Sub Par(ity) Performance (Kelsey)
    Prediction: 20-21 *universe*
  • [3rd] Caughtfish Defence (Gela) vs. ... - --- .--. - .... . - .-. .- .. -. (Mikey)
    Prediction: 21-20 *universe*
  • [5th] Trout on toast (Morgan) vs. Laura S’cored (Laura)
    Prediction: 21-22
  • [7th] Mussel aTrophy (Sully) vs. Burnt Toast (John)
    Prediction: 20-21
  • [9th] Toasted Defender Karbon Tax (Mehmet) vs. UnFourTwoNat (Nat)
    Prediction: 21-20 *universe*

After winning their respective semifinal matchups by 15 goals apiece, the powerhouse rosters of Kate and Kelsey look set for an epic clash tonight. It wasn't so long ago that these teams last played, when Kate's team took a 22-18 win in the prequarterfinals. At the time, I said the winner of that game was a good bet to go all the way, but now that we're here I give the edge to their opponent. From top to bottom, Kelsey's team has simply too many offensive options to be shut down and too many stifling defenders to break through. Kate's team will need to be near-perfect to hold them off in what I expect will be a wickedly fast-paced game.

Fun fact: Alisha Zhao and Brian Perry (both on Team Kelsey) are the only players eligible for the repeat after winning the Session 2 championships in Spring 2019.

The rest of the games look close as well, although we've seen how reliable my universe points game calls have been. Gela is my favourite to take the podium ahead of Mikey, but both teams are missing some key pieces tonight that could tip the scale the other way. Laura will rebound from a tough quarterfinal loss to win out the 5th place bracket. The freefall for regular season winner Sully will culminate with a loss to John in the 7th place game.

And in the shame game? Unfourtwonat-ly, I expect Mehmet to take 9th.

Remember, Hadrian, you can help reduce Mehmet's shame.

Hadrian Mertins-Kirkwood's picture

  • [1st] For the Injustices of Fat Hadrians everywhere (Kate) vs. Kelseys Grammer: A Sub Par(ity) Performance (Kelsey)
    Prediction: 20-21 *universe* | Result: 15-26 ✅
  • [3rd] Caughtfish Defence (Gela) vs. ... - --- .--. - .... . - .-. .- .. -. (Mikey)
    Prediction: 21-20 *universe* | Result: 23-17 ✅
  • [5th] Trout on toast (Morgan) vs. Laura S’cored (Laura)
    Prediction: 21-22 | Result: 19-25 ✅
  • [7th] Mussel aTrophy (Sully) vs. Burnt Toast (John)
    Prediction: 20-21 | Result: 21-20 ❌
  • [9th] Toasted Defender Karbon Tax (Mehmet) vs. UnFourTwoNat (Nat)
    Prediction: 21-20 *universe* | Result: 26-19 ✅

Congrats to Kelsey for pulling off the championship in convincing fashion! Team Kate put up a good fight at times, but they weren't consistent enough to hold off the onslaught. Six members of Team Kelsey cracked $100k, led by Brian Perry and Alisha Zhao who completed the repeat championship. Can they make it a three-peat in April!?

In the other games, Gela, Laura and Mehmet looked convincing as they took 3rd, 5th and 9th, respectively. In a nailbiter, Sully held on to take 7th.

The predictions went 4-1 this week to bring the overall playoff prediction record to 15-5 (75%). That's my best single-playoff performance yet and brings my algorithm's all-time record to 38-17 (69%). See you back here on April 6th!